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Industry Overview To
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Every month we will offer detailed reports on economic trends in one industry. This Month's Featured Industry: The Greeting Card Industry
Greeting cards can be found in about 100,000 retail
outlets in the Greeting cards are a part of the overall stationery
market, which includes paper stationery, writing equipment, greeting
cards and other office and school equipment except office furniture
and computer hardware. Greeting
cards and stationery account for 65.1 percent of this market. Market research firm Datamonitor reports this
industry has been growing gradually, with compound annual growth rate (CAGR) at 2.8 percent between 1999
and 2003.
[2]
According to the Greeting Card Association (GCA),
approximately 3,000 greeting card publishers exist in the Companies primarily engaged in publishing, printing by any process, or both, of greeting cards for all occasions are categorized in Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) code 2771: Greeting cards – Manufacturing. 851 greeting card companies (both headquarters and individual locations) have reported their data to Dun & Bradstreet. Of these companies, the average firm employs 15 people and generates annual sales of $4.10 million . [4] Despite the steady growth in the industry in the
1980’s and 1990s’, industry revenues decreased in 2000, 2001, and
2002, showing that greeting cards consumers are more apt to buy more
cards when the economy is strong.
According to industry analysts, the terrorist attacks of September
11, 2001 hurt the greeting card market.
[5]
According to Integra Information, industry revenue
growth for those companies operating in SIC 2771 fluctuated dramatically
between 1997 and 2001, with an annual average of .42 percent. However, annual growth rates are expected to
stabilize and grow by an average of 6.06 percent between 2004 and
2008 (see Table 1).
[6]
Table 1: Industry Revenue Growth: SIC 2771 -- Greeting Cards
Source: Integra Information Increased competition in the industry and deflation in greeting-card priceshave been difficult on many businesses, including industry leader American Greetings. The company recently announced it will lay off 300 employees. That eliminates nine percent of the work force at the Cleveland-based card company, whose profits have been waning since 1997,” says Jackie Cohen of CBS Marketwatch.Jeff Stein, an analyst at Cleveland-based KeyBanc Capital Markets, "This latest round of layoffs is indicative of the difficult challenges that American Greetings faces in regrowing its business.” [7] Consumers are increasingly moving from card and
gift shops to drugstores, supermarkets, and discount stores to buy
their greeting cards, due to the desire for convenience and one-stop
shopping.While the mass-market channel is larger and faster growing
than specialty stores, it is not as profitable. The mass-market channel
is dominated by American Greetings.
[12]
Greeting card companies have
established exclusive deals with retailers, such as CVS with Hallmark
and Rite Aid with American Greetings.
Both Hallmark and American Greetings are creating displays
and environments that “are elevating the category to a level rivaling
the traditional card store format,” according to Michelle Kirsche
of Drug Store News.
[13]
However, in an effort to compete with Hallmark
and American Greetings, some retailers are offering a growing selection
of 99 cent cards.For example, value-priced greeting card retailer
Cardsmart Retail Corp., a chain owned by Rhode Island-based Paramount
Cards, is selling its cards and products at 50 percent off list price.
Cardsmart opened 44 stores in 2003 and expects to open 50 stores in
2004 and 70 to 75 stores in 2005, and the majority of the company’s
stores are franchises.
[14]
In addition, numerous Internet sites offer electronic
greeting cards. Still, according to the Greeting Card Association,
64 percent of Americans prefer to receive the ‘old-fashioned handwritten
card or letter” instead of email and text messaging.
[15]
Indeed, many believe the Internet has not had
the negative effect on retail card sales that some industry observers
predicted a few years ago. Premier
Greetings’ vice president Mark Deuschle remarks: "One of the
ways we choose to deepen our relationships with an Internet friend,
buddy or colleague is to send a greeting card regarding an event in
his or her life"
[16]
Outlook Over the past 10 years, sales of paper greeting
cards have been flat, but Valerie Cooper of the Greeting Card Association
does not attribute the flat sales to online cards or other types of
competition. “There are a lot of new greeting-card publishers succeeding
out there." Still, Cooper
is optimistic. Consumers are spending more on cards throughout the
year, and approximately 91 percent of adults are planning to send
at least one paper greeting card during the 2004 holiday season.
This is on par with last year's count.
[17]
In addition, Datamonitor forecasts the
overall stationery market will increase by an estimated CAGR or 3.7
percent between 2003 and 2008.
[18]
[1]
“Industry Association
Keeps Greeting Cards Front and Center as Americans’ Communications
Options Grow.” Greeting Card
Association. Internet: www.greetingcard.org.
Accessed December 8, 2004.
[2]
“
[3]
Stein, J.S. et. al.
“American Greetings Corp.” McDonald Investments. March 5, 2003. Investext
Database.
[4]
“Industry: Greeting Cards (2771).” Dun & Bradstreet Sales and Marketing Solutions.
Internet: www.zapdata.com. Accessed March 1, 2005.
[5]
"Greeting Cards." Encyclopedia of Global Industries. Online
Edition. Thomson Gale, 2005. Reproduced in Business and Company
Resource Center.
[6]
"Industry Growth Outlook Report: Manufacturing -- Greeting Cards."
Integra Information. November 24, 2004. Internet: www.integrainfo.com.
[7]
Cohen, Jackie. “Posting
seasons greetings.” CBS MarketWatch.com. December.
8, 2004.. Internet: www.cbsmarketwatch.com.
Accessed December 8, 2004.
[8]
Libbin, Jennifer. “Traditional Cards Thrive in Post E-Greeting
Era.” DSN Retailing Today. June 18,
2001, p. 31.
[9]
“Smart Replenishment.”
Chain Store Age. July 2004,
pg. 57.
[10]
Stein, J.S. et. al.
“American Greetings Corp.” McDonald Investments. March 5, 2003. Investext
Database.
[11]
"Greeting Cards." Encyclopedia of Global Industries. Online
Edition. Thomson Gale, 2005. Reproduced in Business and Company
Resource Center.
[12]
Stein, J.S. et. al.
“American Greetings Corp.” McDonald Investments. March 5, 2003. Investext
Database.
[13]
Kirsche., Michelle R. “Personal Experience Not Price, Drives, Greeting Card
Purchases.” Drug Store News. Nov ember 8, 2004,
pg 27.
[14]
“Smart Replenishment.” Chain
Store Age. July 2004,
pg. 57.
[15]
“
[16]
“People Keep Wanting to Connect.” MMR, August 9, 2004, pg 14.
[17]
Cohen, Jackie. “Posting
seasons greetings.” CBS MarketWatch.com. December.
8, 2004 . Internet: www.cbsmarketwatch.com.
Accessed December 8, 2004.
[18]
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